MétéoDemain

Comparaison des modèles météo à Zuani

Chaque modèle reste indépendant. Les statistiques décrivent leur dispersion, sans remplacer la prévision principale ni désigner un meilleur modèle.

Prévisions de demain, à échéance identique. Pluie en mm sur l’heure précédente ; vent et rafales en km/h. « — » signifie indisponible.

Température demain (°C)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSÉcartMédiane
00:001210,710,310,710,91,710,7
01:0012,69,910,810,710,92,710,8
02:0012,29,410,610,710,82,810,7
03:0011,99,31110,810,82,610,8
04:0011,89,610,711112,211
05:0011,79,810,810,911,11,910,9
06:0012,810,510,611,111,32,311,1
07:0012,911,310,811,411,32,111,3
08:0012,812,211,111,811,51,711,8
09:0012,91311,51211,51,512
10:0013,213,111,812,111,71,512,1
11:0013,213,211,812,411,71,512,4
12:0013,113,11212,511,61,512,5
13:0012,913,111,912,511,61,512,5
14:001313,211,812,311,61,612,3
15:0012,713,111,51211,81,612
16:0012,81311,511,911,71,511,9
17:0013,313,111,211,611,62,111,6
18:0013,413,111,311,411,52,111,5
19:0013,113,11111,211,32,111,3
20:0012,813,410,91110,92,511
21:0012,913,51110,810,43,111
22:0012,713,411,110,710,13,311,1
23:0012,813,311,110,69,83,511,1
Précipitations par modèle
Précipitations (mm)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSMin.Max.MoyenneÉcart-type
00:0011,100,10,40,2011,12,44,4
01:003,100,10,40,203,10,81,2
02:009,600,40,40,309,62,13,7
03:002400,60,30,302459,5
04:0023,300,70,50,3023,359,2
05:0014,600,90,70,2014,63,35,7
06:0012,600,40,90,2012,62,84,9
07:007,10,40,71,10,20,27,11,92,6
08:002,31,30,71,30,70,72,31,30,6
09:000,21,11,62,61,70,22,61,40,8
10:001,51,82,92,22,41,52,92,20,5
11:002,83,14,61,62,31,64,62,91
12:002,233,511,813,52,30,9
13:006,83,22,90,70,90,76,82,92,2
14:005,14,84,510,60,65,13,22
15:004,85,142,10,40,45,13,31,8
16:0013,14,93,82,10,30,313,14,84,4
17:005,74,44,22,4005,73,32
18:008,64,14,31,9008,63,82,9
19:008,935,71,1008,93,73,2
20:0011,546,810011,54,74,2
21:004,93,86,30,6006,33,12,4
22:006,21,95,20,5006,22,82,5
23:003,10,96,40,3006,42,12,4
Vent par modèle
Vent (km/h)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSMin.Max.MoyenneÉcart-type
00:003,36,52,51,11,81,16,531,9
01:0010,45,30,91,61,80,910,443,5
02:006,55,81,31,52,51,36,53,52,2
03:0010,55,42,813110,54,53,3
04:004,75,23,62,42,22,25,23,61,2
05:001,964,43,60,70,763,31,9
06:0011,37,24,13,62,32,311,35,73,2
07:00117,62,75,82,12,1115,83,3
08:0012104,78,23,83,8127,73,1
09:0010,8145,88,79,45,8149,72,7
10:0011,313,8888,7813,8102,3
11:0011,914,410,28,58,68,514,410,72,2
12:0012,213,510,59,27,77,713,510,62,1
13:0013,313,610,59,56,56,513,610,72,6
14:0012,713,611,67,97,47,413,610,62,5
15:001213,310,77,65,85,813,39,92,8
16:009,613,69,67,65,15,113,69,12,8
17:0011,113,38,76,44,24,213,38,73,2
18:009,213,685,44,74,713,68,23,2
19:0012,712,37,14,63,13,112,783,9
20:0012,212,27,14,41,91,912,27,64,1
21:0011,413,96,951,81,813,97,84,4
22:008,7136,34,22,72,71373,6
23:009,710,74,94,33,23,210,76,63
Rafales par modèle
Rafales (km/h)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSMin.Max.MoyenneÉcart-type
00:0023,81816,210,42,92,923,814,37,1
01:002714,413135,45,42714,67
02:0027,412,611,910,45,85,827,413,67,3
03:0024,112,612,210,15,85,824,1136,1
04:0023,411,514,811,54,74,723,413,26,1
05:0029,21415,811,53,63,629,214,88,3
06:005019,115,512,6445020,215,7
07:0037,120,915,5184437,119,110,7
08:0042,827,416,622,75,85,842,823,112,2
09:0030,237,119,124,810,110,137,124,39,2
10:0040,737,822,724,18,68,640,726,811,6
11:0047,238,527,724,19,49,447,229,412,9
12:0039,638,53125,68,38,339,628,611,4
13:0037,13631,726,312,212,237,128,79,1
14:0035,636,734,226,314,814,836,729,58,2
15:0030,236,433,122,314,414,436,427,38
16:0031,335,6312212,212,235,626,48,4
17:0036,735,329,521,210,810,836,726,79,6
18:0046,835,627,41811,911,946,827,912,4
19:0036,734,926,616,213,713,736,725,69,4
20:0032,431,724,81414,41432,423,58
21:0031,734,924,115,5131334,923,88,6
22:0032,834,924,115,112,612,634,923,99
23:0028,83220,21310,410,43220,98,5

Sources des données et licences. Les prévisions sont indicatives et susceptibles d’évoluer.

Dispersion de l’ensemble ECMWF →