MétéoDemain

Comparaison des modèles météo à Wegscheid

Chaque modèle reste indépendant. Les statistiques décrivent leur dispersion, sans remplacer la prévision principale ni désigner un meilleur modèle.

Prévisions de demain, à échéance identique. Pluie en mm sur l’heure précédente ; vent et rafales en km/h. « — » signifie indisponible.

Température demain (°C)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSÉcartMédiane
00:002,1-0,10,52,612,71
01:002,1-0,30,52,512,81
02:002,4-0,40,62,30,82,80,8
03:002,6-0,50,52,10,73,10,7
04:002,8-0,50,42,10,63,30,6
05:002,6-0,50,52,10,93,10,9
06:002,4-0,50,62,10,62,90,6
07:002,4-0,50,52,10,82,90,8
08:002,1-0,41,12,41,52,81,5
09:002,81,33,94,543,23,9
10:004,94,15,97,26,13,15,9
11:006,76,47,78,88,12,47,7
12:007,97,99109,52,19
13:009,59,19,71110,41,99,7
14:0010,29,39,911,310,3210,2
15:00108,99,710,89,71,99,7
16:009,18,28,69,97,42,58,6
17:007,36,357,74,736,3
18:005,14,33,75,93,62,34,3
19:004,432,95,13,52,23,5
20:004,22,22,54,83,42,63,4
21:003,41,82,54,73,92,93,4
22:003,21,82,74,73,92,93,2
23:004,11,63,44,84,13,24,1
Précipitations par modèle
Précipitations (mm)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSMin.Max.MoyenneÉcart-type
00:00000000000
01:00000000000
02:00000000000
03:00000000000
04:00000000000
05:00000000000
06:00000000000
07:00000000000
08:00000000000
09:00000000000
10:00000000000
11:00000000000
12:00000000000
13:00000000000
14:00000000000
15:00000000000
16:00000000000
17:00000000000
18:00000000000
19:00000000000
20:00000000000
21:00000000000
22:00000000000
23:00000000000
Vent par modèle
Vent (km/h)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSMin.Max.MoyenneÉcart-type
00:001,34,54,94,74,91,34,94,11,4
01:001,15,35,44,75,31,15,44,41,6
02:000,85,64,24,85,20,85,64,11,7
03:001,16,14,54,84,81,16,14,31,7
04:001,56,64,15,14,21,56,64,31,7
05:001,56,83,64,75,31,56,84,41,8
06:001,87,23,34,94,11,87,24,31,8
07:001,66,93,44,85,61,66,94,51,8
08:001,56,93,54,92,81,56,93,91,9
09:002,55,34,84,73,62,55,34,21
10:0012,34,26,75,116,73,92
11:003,32,94,77,162,97,14,81,6
12:002,74,25,47,25,62,77,251,5
13:003,35,24,96,96,13,36,95,31,2
14:003,15,24,86,56,63,16,65,21,3
15:003,13,83,85,66,23,16,24,51,2
16:002,92,63,84,85,42,65,43,91,1
17:001,51,53,73,55,41,55,43,11,5
18:001,61,13,53,76,21,16,23,21,8
19:000,73,65,14,45,40,75,43,81,7
20:000,44,63,844,30,44,63,41,5
21:001,15,93,24,24,71,15,93,81,6
22:001,65,42,93,531,65,43,31,2
23:000,75,91,62,820,75,92,61,8
Rafales par modèle
Rafales (km/h)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSMin.Max.MoyenneÉcart-type
00:004,75,41427,77,64,727,711,98,6
01:003,26,514,426,393,226,311,98,1
02:002,26,81425,99,42,225,911,78,1
03:002,96,812,225,292,925,211,27,6
04:002,97,611,9229,42,92210,86,3
05:002,57,910,820,510,12,520,510,45,8
06:002,98,310,121,26,52,921,29,86,2
07:002,98,3921,692,921,610,26,2
08:003,27,99,721,66,53,221,69,86,3
09:002,57,6132210,42,52211,16,5
10:002,95,815,125,912,22,925,912,48
11:008,64,716,928,110,84,728,113,88,2
12:009,411,218,728,49,49,428,415,47,3
13:0010,112,218,727,79927,715,56,9
14:0010,812,217,626,39,79,726,315,36,1
15:0010,812,216,222,39,49,422,314,24,7
16:009,79,413,319,811,99,419,812,83,8
17:007,95,410,115,57,25,415,59,23,5
18:003,22,210,88,66,12,210,86,23,2
19:001,83,613,38,35,81,813,36,64
20:002,25,8149,74,72,2147,34,1
21:0046,511,211,95,4411,97,83,2
22:005,87,211,511,93,63,611,983,2
23:006,57,29,411,53,23,211,57,62,8

Sources des données et licences. Les prévisions sont indicatives et susceptibles d’évoluer.

Dispersion de l’ensemble ECMWF →