MétéoDemain

Comparaison des modèles météo à Strasbourg

Chaque modèle reste indépendant. Les statistiques décrivent leur dispersion, sans remplacer la prévision principale ni désigner un meilleur modèle.

Prévisions de demain, à échéance identique. Pluie en mm sur l’heure précédente ; vent et rafales en km/h. « — » signifie indisponible.

Température demain (°C)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSÉcartMédiane
00:005,55,56,15,46,415,5
01:004,95,1656,41,55,1
02:004,54,9656,62,15
03:004,14,6656,72,65
04:003,64,56,156,83,25
05:003,34,46,45,273,75,2
06:0034,46,45,37,34,35,3
07:0034,76,45,57,34,35,5
08:003,15,26,35,87,34,25,8
09:00466,76,37,53,56,3
10:005,36,97,16,97,92,66,9
11:006,77,77,87,88,51,87,8
12:0088,68,98,7918,7
13:009,59,39,79,89,60,59,6
14:0010,210,11010,4100,410,1
15:0010,710,610,210,610,20,510,6
16:0010,610,49,910,410,20,710,4
17:009,99,38,89,18,81,19,1
18:009,287,97,581,78
19:008,36,87,66,57,51,87,5
20:007,45,775,77,31,77
21:006,556,25,26,91,96,2
22:005,94,55,54,76,525,5
23:005,34,34,94,26,11,94,9
Précipitations par modèle
Précipitations (mm)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSMin.Max.MoyenneÉcart-type
00:00000000000
01:00000000000
02:00000000000
03:00000000000
04:00000000000
05:00000000000
06:00000000000
07:00000000000
08:00000000000
09:00000000000
10:00000000000
11:00000000000
12:00000000000
13:00000000000
14:00000000000
15:00000000000
16:00000000000
17:00000000000
18:00000000000
19:00000000000
20:00000000000
21:00000000000
22:00000000000
23:00000000000
Vent par modèle
Vent (km/h)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSMin.Max.MoyenneÉcart-type
00:0015,61717,211,310,810,817,214,42,8
01:0013,916,21610,79,69,616,213,32,7
02:0014,115,915,110,68,88,815,912,92,7
03:0014,316,115,310,39,29,216,1132,8
04:0014,317,11610,510,410,417,113,72,8
05:0014,117,416,610,711,510,717,414,12,7
06:0013,617,417,411,811,511,517,414,32,6
07:001417,91812,511,211,21814,72,8
08:001418,418,112,811,911,918,4152,7
09:0013,217,817,913,311,311,317,914,72,7
10:0013,215,816,513,810,310,316,513,92,2
11:0013,212,614,813,811,111,114,813,11,2
12:0012,510,511,613,51210,513,5121
13:0013,69,910,71312,79,913,6121,4
14:0016,39,711,313,112,69,716,312,62,2
15:0018,412,213,21312,712,218,413,92,3
16:0019,614,412,812,210,410,419,613,93,1
17:0017,814,411,28,27,37,317,811,83,9
18:001510,710,76,86,26,2159,93,2
19:0012,37,912,85,55,15,112,88,73,3
20:0097,413,55,26,25,213,58,32,9
21:00118,412,75,57,95,512,79,12,5
22:001010,2115,67,25,6118,82,1
23:009,512,18,85,66,25,612,18,42,4
Rafales par modèle
Rafales (km/h)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSMin.Max.MoyenneÉcart-type
00:0031,329,234,625,2222234,628,54,4
01:0028,427,433,524,522,322,333,527,23,8
02:0025,926,33123,421,621,63125,63,2
03:0025,926,630,223222230,225,52,9
04:0026,328,431,322,3222231,326,13,6
05:0026,328,833,123222233,126,64
06:0026,329,235,325,621,621,635,327,64,6
07:0026,629,536,727,421,621,636,728,44,9
08:0027,43137,128,124,824,837,129,74,2
09:0026,33141,829,526,626,341,8315,7
10:0025,630,641,430,227,725,641,431,15,5
11:0025,627,436,730,628,125,636,729,73,9
12:0025,622,333,1312722,333,127,83,8
13:002721,22730,624,821,230,626,13,1
14:0030,621,225,929,923,821,230,626,33,6
15:0034,223,829,529,924,523,834,228,43,8
16:0036,725,23129,224,824,836,729,44,4
17:0036,725,626,626,620,220,236,727,15,3
18:0032,822,72217,319,417,332,822,85,3
19:0027,416,224,513,718,413,727,4205,1
20:0021,211,526,610,817,310,826,617,56
21:0018,711,926,611,219,411,226,617,65,6
22:0019,415,124,511,511,911,524,516,54,9
23:0017,318,721,211,98,38,321,215,54,7

Sources des données et licences. Les prévisions sont indicatives et susceptibles d’évoluer.

Dispersion de l’ensemble ECMWF →