MétéoDemain

Comparaison des modèles météo à Petitmont

Chaque modèle reste indépendant. Les statistiques décrivent leur dispersion, sans remplacer la prévision principale ni désigner un meilleur modèle.

Prévisions de demain, à échéance identique. Pluie en mm sur l’heure précédente ; vent et rafales en km/h. « — » signifie indisponible.

Température demain (°C)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSÉcartMédiane
00:004,53,73,85,223,23,8
01:003,13,13,44,91,83,13,1
02:002,62,72,94,61,632,7
03:002,22,52,64,41,52,92,5
04:002,12,424,21,42,82,1
05:001,82,41,74,11,32,81,8
06:001,82,41,341,42,71,8
07:001,52,50,83,91,53,11,5
08:001,32,60,94,12,13,22,1
09:002,44,14,76,4544,7
10:005,16,77,98,583,47,9
11:007,49,210,210,210,12,810,1
12:009,411,111,611,511,52,211,5
13:0010,812,212,312,412,21,612,2
14:0011,61212,212,712,41,112,2
15:0011,311,211,612,211,9111,6
16:0010,610,310,311,2101,210,3
17:008,88,46,48,96,42,58,4
18:006,36,44,86,34,91,66,3
19:004,75,44,25,14,31,24,7
20:003,953,74,541,34
21:003,14,934,341,94
22:002,74,82,34,23,92,53,9
23:002,74,61,943,92,73,9
Précipitations par modèle
Précipitations (mm)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSMin.Max.MoyenneÉcart-type
00:00000000000
01:00000000000
02:00000000000
03:00000000000
04:00000000000
05:00000000000
06:00000000000
07:00000000000
08:00000000000
09:00000000000
10:00000000000
11:00000000000
12:00000000000
13:00000000000
14:00000000000
15:00000000000
16:00000000000
17:00000000000
18:00000000000
19:00000000000
20:00000000000
21:00000000000
22:00000000000
23:00000000000
Vent par modèle
Vent (km/h)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSMin.Max.MoyenneÉcart-type
00:005,58,613,27,67,85,513,28,52,5
01:006,18,712,57,67,86,112,58,52,1
02:007,79,8127,37,97,3128,91,8
03:00810,910,77,38,17,310,991,5
04:007,412,29,16,976,912,28,52
05:007,612,97,87,36,16,112,98,32,4
06:007,412,45,67,36,15,612,47,82,4
07:005,712,1475,8412,16,92,8
08:005,111,85,27,36,15,111,87,12,5
09:002,110,66,97,33,42,110,66,13
10:001,87,72,97,21,51,57,74,22,7
11:002,13,82,27,22,32,17,23,51,9
12:002,9147,22,517,23,52,1
13:003,52,85,86,54,42,86,54,61,4
14:004,45,87,46,14,34,37,45,61,2
15:0044,975,45,1475,31
16:003,73,35,645,63,35,64,41
17:002,23,15,84,37,32,27,34,51,8
18:002,36,410,35,27,92,310,36,42,7
19:005,19,710,15,47,95,110,17,62,1
20:005,410,510,65,57,95,410,682,3
21:004,710,57,557,44,710,572,1
22:004,896,35,46,84,896,51,4
23:0056,94,55,56,74,56,95,70,9
Rafales par modèle
Rafales (km/h)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSMin.Max.MoyenneÉcart-type
00:0016,929,926,334,95,85,834,922,810,3
01:0012,223,825,634,67,97,934,620,89,6
02:0015,524,124,131993120,77,7
03:0016,925,22329,57,27,229,520,47,7
04:0017,627,419,828,15,85,828,119,78,1
05:0016,928,116,225,95,85,828,118,68
06:0017,327,713,325,25,45,427,717,88,1
07:0015,526,38,624,85,45,426,316,18,4
08:0010,824,18,324,54,74,724,514,58,3
09:00922,313,725,65,45,425,615,27,7
10:005,820,212,627,45527,414,28,6
11:007,917,311,228,14,34,328,113,88,3
12:0010,45,414,828,82,22,228,812,39,3
13:0011,92,917,628,82,52,528,812,79,8
14:0012,213,319,825,93,23,225,914,97,6
15:0012,613,319,8235,85,82314,96
16:0011,210,817,619,16,56,519,1134,7
17:0094,312,613,76,14,313,79,13,6
18:00411,91812,66,541810,64,9
19:006,816,618,712,66,16,118,712,25,1
20:0010,417,319,8136,16,119,813,34,9
21:007,917,319,1135519,112,55,4
22:006,516,61312,64,74,716,610,74,4
23:007,613,711,5133,63,613,79,93,8

Sources des données et licences. Les prévisions sont indicatives et susceptibles d’évoluer.

Dispersion de l’ensemble ECMWF →