MétéoDemain

Comparaison des modèles météo à Chambezon

Chaque modèle reste indépendant. Les statistiques décrivent leur dispersion, sans remplacer la prévision principale ni désigner un meilleur modèle.

Prévisions de demain, à échéance identique. Pluie en mm sur l’heure précédente ; vent et rafales en km/h. « — » signifie indisponible.

Température demain (°C)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSÉcartMédiane
00:003,85,164,34,22,24,3
01:003,85,16,24,24,92,44,9
02:003,955,84,14,91,94,9
03:003,355,64,24,72,34,7
04:002,84,95,74,35,32,94,9
05:002,64,764,45,53,44,7
06:002,24,66,14,44,33,94,4
07:002,44,66,44,64,844,6
08:002,74,66,84,85,54,14,8
09:004,34,97,75,363,45,3
10:0065,38,96,26,23,66,2
11:008,15,69,37,27,73,77,7
12:009,25,910,197,54,29
13:0010,56,310,810,494,510,4
14:009,96,510,411,57,559,9
15:0010,66,310,111,87,85,510,1
16:0010,36,39,511,57,45,29,5
17:009,569,410,57,54,59,4
18:008,85,98,89,77,43,88,8
19:008,26,38,89,3738,2
20:007,96,18,89,1737,9
21:007,66,18,68,76,72,67,6
22:0076,48,98,56,62,57
23:006,56,38,48,36,42,16,5
Précipitations par modèle
Précipitations (mm)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSMin.Max.MoyenneÉcart-type
00:0000,1000,300,30,10,1
01:0000,100,21010,30,4
02:0000,700000,70,10,3
03:0001,900,30,301,90,50,7
04:0002,702,30,402,71,11,2
05:0002,700,60,102,70,71
06:0003,501,9003,51,11,4
07:0001,301,9001,90,60,8
08:0000,8010010,40,4
09:0000,40,10,50,200,50,20,2
10:0001,30,30,10,201,30,40,5
11:0001,20,30001,20,30,5
12:00010,201,901,90,60,7
13:0001,50,100,501,50,40,6
14:000,32,80,102,902,91,21,3
15:000,440,90,110,141,31,4
16:0004,92,80,30,704,91,71,9
17:0004,821,60,604,81,81,7
18:0006,42,33,21,906,42,82,1
19:0004,32,31,84,204,32,51,6
20:0003,91,61,75052,41,8
21:0000,91,61,61,201,61,10,6
22:00022,50,90,102,51,11
23:00001,10,5001,10,30,4
Vent par modèle
Vent (km/h)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSMin.Max.MoyenneÉcart-type
00:001,63,52,71113,521
01:003,91,31,31,30,70,73,91,71,1
02:003,43,12,30,81,10,83,42,11
03:004,22,93,11,33,41,34,230,9
04:004,33,43,41,521,54,32,91
05:005,22,33,12,33,12,35,23,21,1
06:006,43,62,92,12,42,16,43,51,5
07:005,21,82,61,43,31,45,22,91,3
08:004,12,92,43,13,62,44,13,20,6
09:002,92,91,52,62,21,52,92,40,5
10:001,33,51,52,641,342,61,1
11:0022,53,64,52,324,530,9
12:002,944,23,30,70,74,231,3
13:003,13,864,44,83,164,41
14:003,643,43,23,43,243,50,3
15:003,83,34,93,62,32,34,93,60,8
16:001,66,45,14,16,31,66,44,71,8
17:003,35,41,72,96,51,76,541,7
18:0044,1635,8364,61,1
19:003,21,83,43,38,11,88,142,2
20:002,74,33,31,68,71,68,74,12,5
21:003,36,92,244,72,26,94,21,6
22:0046,61,53,63,41,56,63,81,6
23:003,65,40,84,12,90,85,43,41,5
Rafales par modèle
Rafales (km/h)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSMin.Max.MoyenneÉcart-type
00:006,119,15,83,61,81,819,17,36,1
01:004,74,76,11,82,51,86,141,6
02:006,84,75,41,82,21,86,84,21,9
03:008,613,76,82,52,52,513,76,84,2
04:007,913,37,24,73,63,613,37,33,4
05:008,315,87,63,62,92,915,87,64,6
06:009,421,66,85,42,52,521,69,16,6
07:0010,85,86,56,83,23,210,86,62,4
08:008,611,26,17,94411,27,62,4
09:006,111,95,86,83,23,211,96,82,8
10:00414,46,17,26,8414,47,73,5
11:005,415,19,710,84,34,315,19,13,9
12:0010,12712,210,82,52,52712,58
13:0010,825,615,812,24425,613,77,1
14:009,719,415,510,84,34,319,411,95,2
15:008,313,711,520,93,63,620,911,65,8
16:007,91317,619,19,47,919,113,44,4
17:007,911,516,913,75,85,816,911,24
18:0011,912,28,69,76,16,112,29,72,2
19:0012,218,710,86,596,518,711,44,1
20:007,97,94,37,613,34,313,38,22,9
21:003,217,64,77,28,63,217,68,35
22:007,915,14,38,33,23,215,17,84,2
23:007,29,758,35,459,77,11,8

Sources des données et licences. Les prévisions sont indicatives et susceptibles d’évoluer.

Dispersion de l’ensemble ECMWF →