MétéoDemain

Comparaison des modèles météo à Andelain

Chaque modèle reste indépendant. Les statistiques décrivent leur dispersion, sans remplacer la prévision principale ni désigner un meilleur modèle.

Prévisions de demain, à échéance identique. Pluie en mm sur l’heure précédente ; vent et rafales en km/h. « — » signifie indisponible.

Température demain (°C)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSÉcartMédiane
00:001,84,34,56,13,64,34,3
01:001,73,84,25,33,43,63,8
02:001,63,43,94,63,333,4
03:001,333,64,13,12,83,1
04:001,22,73,33,72,82,52,8
05:001,12,533,32,52,22,5
06:000,72,22,83,32,32,62,3
07:000,92,12,73,422,52,1
08:000,71,92,83,21,92,51,9
09:001,62,64,14,33,52,73,5
10:003,93,95,85,75,71,95,7
11:005,85,77,36,97,51,86,9
12:007,77,38,67,991,77,9
13:008,98,49,78,810,31,98,9
14:009,89,110,39,5111,99,8
15:0010,19,410,59,8111,610,1
16:0010,39,310,29,710,61,310,2
17:008,98,488,78,40,98,4
18:006,67,26,77,270,67
19:005,16,766,86,51,76,5
20:003,96,15,76,36,12,46,1
21:0035,45,25,35,82,85,3
22:002,754,64,75,93,24,7
23:002,14,34,24,55,73,64,3
Précipitations par modèle
Précipitations (mm)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSMin.Max.MoyenneÉcart-type
00:00000000000
01:00000000000
02:00000000000
03:00000000000
04:00000000000
05:00000000000
06:00000000000
07:00000000000
08:00000000000
09:00000000000
10:00000000000
11:00000000000
12:00000000000
13:00000000000
14:00000000000
15:00000000000
16:00000000000
17:00000000000
18:00000000000
19:00000000000
20:00000000000
21:00000000000
22:00000000000
23:00000000000
Vent par modèle
Vent (km/h)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSMin.Max.MoyenneÉcart-type
00:009,21012,410,512,99,212,9111,4
01:0010,29,712,49,713,19,713,1111,4
02:0011,39,711,78,712,28,712,210,71,3
03:0010,610,211,47,9127,91210,41,4
04:0011,610,4116,512,46,512,410,42
05:0011,21010,36,911,76,911,7101,7
06:009,49,710,57,911,37,911,39,81,1
07:0010,99,411,16,510,96,511,19,81,7
08:0010,29,211,17,111,37,111,39,81,5
09:0010,59,711,97,212,57,212,510,41,9
10:0013,410,212,210,415,810,215,812,42,1
11:0014,810,612,41314,710,614,813,11,6
12:0016,910,510,613,311,810,516,912,62,4
13:00168,29,111,712,28,21611,42,7
14:0013,57,48,912,612,37,413,510,92,4
15:0012,86,811,111,813,76,813,711,22,4
16:0011,77,78,99,511,57,711,79,91,5
17:008,38,35,85,810,85,810,87,81,9
18:0098,76,56,89,76,59,78,11,3
19:009,310,175,89,55,810,18,31,6
20:0078,47,63,49,73,49,77,22,1
21:008,567,24,89,24,89,27,11,6
22:006,63,16,74,593,1962
23:007,83,76,44,37,83,77,861,7
Rafales par modèle
Rafales (km/h)
HeureAROMEARPEGEECMWF IFSICONGFSMin.Max.MoyenneÉcart-type
00:001318,422,320,538,21338,222,58,5
01:0013,718,422,320,538,913,738,922,88,6
02:0015,8182218,737,415,837,422,47,8
03:0015,819,120,916,933,815,833,821,36,5
04:0017,319,120,515,132,815,132,8216,2
05:0018,719,119,813,333,813,333,820,96,8
06:0016,918,418,414,83114,83119,95,7
07:0016,617,319,415,133,115,133,120,36,5
08:0016,616,620,213,731,313,731,319,76,2
09:0016,218,420,914,832,814,832,820,66,4
10:0021,62224,520,925,220,925,222,81,7
11:0024,124,526,62720,220,22724,52,4
12:0027,423,826,328,415,115,128,424,24,8
13:0028,824,123,827,713,313,328,823,55,5
14:0026,320,221,226,313,713,726,321,54,7
15:0022,719,123,426,315,115,126,321,33,9
16:0021,216,923,424,116,916,924,120,53,1
17:0019,116,615,818,714,814,819,1171,7
18:001314,810,41313,710,414,8131,4
19:0012,617,611,5131811,51814,52,7
20:0012,217,61310,41810,41814,23
21:0010,414,8138,317,68,317,612,83,3
22:0011,29,712,28,3138,31310,91,7
23:009,45,411,27,911,55,411,59,12,3

Sources des données et licences. Les prévisions sont indicatives et susceptibles d’évoluer.

Dispersion de l’ensemble ECMWF →